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. >>> plus, stephen colbert celebrates mitt romney's debate performance with a dance party. we'll have that clip a little later in the show. >>> first, let's get to the news live at 5:30 a.m. here at 30 rock in new york city. we begin on the trail. another day of campaigning today in the three battleground states. this morning, both candidates begin the day with stops in virginia. from there it'sn n tn t on to the president while mitt romney heads to florida. this morning's jobs report will set the tone. we'll have them live for you on "morning joe." it's the second to last jobs report before the november election. economists expecting about 113,000 jobs added. the unemployment rate to hover around the current 8.1%. after wednesday night's debate, which drew more than 70 million viewers, large crowds awaited both candidates on the trail. president obama greeted by 30,000 in madison, wisconsin, came out ready to fight back and showed the fire he was lacking in denver. >> when i got on the stage, i met this very spirited fellow who claimed to be mitt romney. but i know it couldn't have
debate for the challenger, not the incumbent. also noted no candidate as far behind as romney at this point has never won. the challenger tend to get a modest bump because he's the new kid on the block and most people get to see him for the first time. number two, it's new england enough of a bump except in rare cases like kennedy, he pointed out reagan and -- >> reagan. >> most of the time it's not enough of a bump. basically we're looking at the final. >> what nate silver documents there in great detail mathematically is what the common sense thing of this is. mitt romney not only has to show up. he's got to hit it out of the park. and he's got to essentially try to -- >> does he know that? >> oh, yes, they know that. well, thaement's a very interes question, chris, they told me repeatedly they see this as a series of three encounters, three presidential and one vp. i think they're kidding themselves -- >> do you think people will watch if he doesn't win tonight -- watch again? >> romney has to win and win big tonight. the mathematics that nate silver is talking about take o
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